Pro League predictions
United Arab Emirates · top flight · 14 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Pro League fixtures
- 10 Sept · 14:40Al-JaziravAl NasrOver 2.5Moderate
- 10 Sept · 14:40Dubai UnitedvShabab Al Ahli DubaiAway or DrawSolid
- 10 Sept · 17:15Al AinvAl-Wasl FCOver 2.5Moderate
- 11 Sept · 14:40Hatta SCvAl-DhafraNo pick yet
- 11 Sept · 14:40KhorfakkanvBaniyas SCNo pick yet
- 11 Sept · 17:15AjmanvAl-Ittihad KalbaOver 2.5Moderate
- 11 Sept · 17:15Al Wahda FCvSharjah FCOver 2.5Moderate
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Jazira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 12 | |
| 2 |  Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 | |
| 4 |  Sharjah FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 9 | |
| 5 |  Ajman | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Al-Wasl FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Al Wahda FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 8 |  Dubai United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Al Nasr | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | |
| 10 |  Hatta SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | |
| 11 |  Khorfakkan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | |
| 12 |  Al-Ittihad Kalba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 | |
| 13 |  Baniyas SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Al-Dhafra | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Relegation - Division 1
Official Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 65.3% | 85.7% | +20.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 85.7% | 100.0% | +14.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 8 | 61.7% | 100.0% | +38.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 8 | 81.1% | 100.0% | +18.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 17 | 61.8% | 70.6% | +8.8 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Pro League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Pro League results
- 6 Sept · 17:15Al-Dhafra0-1Al Wahda FCAway or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 14:45Al Nasr1-2AjmanNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:15Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1-3Al-JaziraOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 14:45Baniyas SC0-1Hatta SCNo pick
- 5 Sept · 14:45Sharjah FC4-3Dubai UnitedOver 2.5✓
- 4 Sept · 17:15Al-Wasl FC5-2KhorfakkanHome or Draw✓
- 4 Sept · 14:45Al-Ittihad Kalba0-2Al AinAway or Draw✓
- 30 Aug · 17:30Al Wahda FC2-1Baniyas SCHome or Draw✓
- 30 Aug · 14:55Hatta SC0-3Sharjah FCAway or Draw✓
- 29 Aug · 17:30Al Ain2-1Al NasrOver 2.5✓
About Pro League
Pro League is the top flight of United Arab Emirates football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.57 goals per game over 28 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 64% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 4% drawn. Al-Jazira lead the table on 12 points from 4 games.
How the model handles Pro League
Every Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 45 Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 68.4% on average and landing 86.7%. Its best-calibrated Pro League market so far is over 2.5 (61.8% claimed against 70.6% hit over 17 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Pro League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.8% claimed against 70.6% hit over 17 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.