Pro League predictions
United Arab Emirates · top flight · 14 teams · table updated 22 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Pro League fixtures
- 29 Oct · 14:10Al AinvAjmanNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 12:55Al-Wasl FCvAl-DhafraNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 12:55Dubai UnitedvKhorfakkanNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 15:35Shabab Al Ahli DubaivAl-Ittihad KalbaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 12:55Al Wahda FCvHatta SCNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 15:35Al-JaziravBaniyas SCNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 15:35Sharjah FCvAl NasrNo pick yet
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Jazira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 14 | |
| 2 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Al-Wasl FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Al Ain | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Al Wahda FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Sharjah FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Ajman | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Al Nasr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Dubai United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Al-Dhafra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 |  Al-Ittihad Kalba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 | |
| 12 |  Khorfakkan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | |
| 13 |  Hatta SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Baniyas SC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Relegation - Division 1
Official Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-22.
This season in numbers
The model's Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 65.3% | 85.7% | +20.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 84.9% | 100.0% | +15.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 12 | 60.6% | 83.3% | +22.7 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 12 | 80.4% | 100.0% | +19.6 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 27 | 61.4% | 63.0% | +1.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 2 | 64.3% | 0.0% | -64.3 |
Settled Pro League matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Pro League results
- 18 Oct · 16:45Ajman1-3Sharjah FCOver 2.5✓
- 18 Oct · 14:05Khorfakkan2-3Al Wahda FCAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 14:05Al-Ittihad Kalba2-2Al-JaziraAway or Draw✓
- 17 Oct · 16:45Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2-0Al AinBTTS✗
- 17 Oct · 14:05Al Nasr2-0Hatta SCHome or Draw✓
- 16 Oct · 16:45Baniyas SC0-2Al-Wasl FCAway or Draw✓
- 16 Oct · 14:05Al-Dhafra5-1Dubai UnitedNo pick
- 11 Sept · 17:15Al Wahda FC1-0Sharjah FCOver 2.5✗
- 11 Sept · 17:15Ajman2-3Al-Ittihad KalbaOver 2.5✓
- 11 Sept · 14:40Khorfakkan0-0Baniyas SCNo pick
About Pro League
Pro League is the top flight of United Arab Emirates football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.38 goals per game over 42 matches: both teams scored in 57%, 60% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 38% with 14% drawn. Al-Jazira lead the table on 14 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Pro League
Every Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 66 Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 67.3% on average and landing 77.3%. Its best-calibrated Pro League market so far is over 2.5 (61.4% claimed against 63.0% hit over 27 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Pro League tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.4% claimed against 63.0% hit over 27 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.