Thai League 1 predictions
Thailand · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Thai League 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Thai League 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Thai League 1 fixtures
- 11 Sept · 12:00Buriram UnitedvChiangrai UnitedHome or DrawSolid
- 11 Sept · 12:30Port FCvLamphun WarriorHome or DrawSolid
- 11 Sept · 13:00RatchaburivBangkok UnitedNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 12:00Sisaket UnitedvAyutthaya FCNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 12:30Uthai ThanivPattaniNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 13:00BG Pathum UnitedvRasi Salai UnitedHome WinModerate
- 13 Sept · 12:00PrachuapvSukhothai FCHome or DrawModerate
- 13 Sept · 13:00Chonburi FCvRayong FCNo pick yet
Thai League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Uthai Thani | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 | |
| 2 |  Buriram United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 3 |  Bangkok United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 |  Port FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 |  Ayutthaya FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 6 |  Chiangrai United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 |  Rayong FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 |  BG Pathum United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 |  Pattani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 |  Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Rasi Salai United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Chonburi FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Prachuap | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Sukhothai FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Sisaket United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Lamphun Warrior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Relegation - Thai League 2
Official Thai League 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Thai League 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 1 | 61.2% | 100.0% | +38.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 1 | 81.3% | 100.0% | +18.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 55.5% | 100.0% | +44.5 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 78.5% | 100.0% | +21.5 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 61.0% | 100.0% | +39.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Thai League 1 matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Thai League 1 results
- 6 Sept · 13:00Sukhothai FC1-3Buriram UnitedAway or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 13:00Ayutthaya FC2-1RatchaburiNo pick
- 6 Sept · 12:30Lamphun Warrior1-4Uthai ThaniNo pick
- 5 Sept · 13:30Rayong FC1-0PrachuapDraw✗
- 5 Sept · 13:00Rasi Salai United1-2Port FCNo pick
- 5 Sept · 12:30Bangkok United3-1Sisaket UnitedOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 12:00Chiangrai United1-0Chonburi FCNo pick
- 4 Sept · 13:00Pattani0-0BG Pathum UnitedNo pick
- 10 May · 12:00Sukhothai FC3-0Muangthong UnitedNo pick
- 10 May · 12:00Rayong FC1-1Bangkok UnitedNo pick
About Thai League 1
Thai League 1 is the top flight of Thailand football with 16 teams. The 2025/26 season has produced 2.68 goals per game over 240 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 47% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 31% drawn. Uthai Thani lead the table on 3 points from 1 game.
How the model handles Thai League 1
Every Thai League 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 5 Thai League 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 67.5% on average and landing 100.0%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Thai League 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Thai League 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Thai League 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Thai League 1 tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Thai League 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Thai League 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.