Thai League 1 predictions
Thailand · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Thai League 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Thai League 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Thai League 1 fixtures
- 25 Oct · 11:00PrachuapvBangkok UnitedNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 11:00Rasi Salai UnitedvAyutthaya FCNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 11:30Lamphun WarriorvPattaniNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 12:00Uthai ThanivSukhothai FCHome or DrawSolid
- 30 Oct · 12:00Bangkok UnitedvUthai ThaniNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 12:00PattanivRasi Salai UnitedNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 12:00Rayong FCvLamphun WarriorNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 12:00Sisaket UnitedvRatchaburiNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 12:00Sukhothai FCvAyutthaya FCNo pick yet
Thai League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Port FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 2 |  Buriram United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Prachuap | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Ratchaburi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Sisaket United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 7 |  BG Pathum United | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Bangkok United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 | |
| 9 |  Rayong FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Ayutthaya FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Lamphun Warrior | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | |
| 13 |  Chiangrai United | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | |
| 14 |  Pattani | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | |
| 15 |  Chonburi FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 | |
| 16 |  Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 1 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Relegation - Thai League 2
Official Thai League 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Thai League 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 12 | 66.0% | 75.0% | +9.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 12 | 84.6% | 91.7% | +7.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 2 | 53.2% | 100.0% | +46.8 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 2 | 76.5% | 100.0% | +23.5 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 11 | 61.2% | 54.5% | -6.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 1 | 62.9% | 0.0% | -62.9 |
Settled Thai League 1 matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Thai League 1 results
- 24 Oct · 13:30Ratchaburi1-2Chonburi FCNo pick
- 24 Oct · 13:00BG Pathum United2-0Chiangrai UnitedHome or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 12:30Buriram United2-3Sisaket UnitedHome or Draw✗
- 24 Oct · 12:00Port FC4-1Rayong FCHome or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 13:00Pattani0-1Buriram UnitedAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 12:30Chiangrai United1-2RatchaburiDraw✗
- 18 Oct · 12:00Sisaket United1-1BG Pathum UnitedNo pick
- 18 Oct · 12:00Bangkok United0-2Port FCBTTS✗
- 17 Oct · 13:00Rayong FC1-1Uthai ThaniNo pick
- 17 Oct · 12:30Chonburi FC1-2PrachuapNo pick
About Thai League 1
Thai League 1 is the top flight of Thailand football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.95 goals per game over 44 matches: both teams scored in 66%, 57% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 16% drawn. Port FC lead the table on 15 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Thai League 1
Every Thai League 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 40 Thai League 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.1% on average and landing 75.0%. Its best-calibrated Thai League 1 market so far is over 2.5 (61.2% claimed against 54.5% hit over 11 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Thai League 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Thai League 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Thai League 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Thai League 1 tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.2% claimed against 54.5% hit over 11 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Thai League 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Thai League 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.