Premier Soccer League predictions
South Africa · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Premier Soccer League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Premier Soccer League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Premier Soccer League fixtures
- 11 Sept · 18:30StellenboschvSekhukhune UnitedNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 14:00AmazuluvMarumo GallantsDrawModerate
- 12 Sept · 14:00Polokwane CityvKaizer ChiefsNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 16:30Chippa UnitedvMamelodi SundownsAway or DrawStrong
- 13 Sept · 14:00Milford FCvRichards BayNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00SiwelelevGolden ArrowsNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:30TS GalaxyvKruger UnitedNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 18:30Orlando PiratesvDurban CityNo pick yet
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mamelodi Sundowns | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 16 | |
| 2 |  Orlando Pirates | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Kaizer Chiefs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 | |
| 4 |  Amazulu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Milford FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 8 | |
| 6 |  Sekhukhune United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 | |
| 7 |  Durban City | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 | |
| 8 |  TS Galaxy | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Golden Arrows | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Polokwane City | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 | |
| 11 |  Stellenbosch | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | |
| 12 |  Chippa United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 13 |  Richards Bay | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Siwelele | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | |
| 15 |  Marumo Gallants | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 | |
| 16 |  Kruger United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 1 |
Official Premier Soccer League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Premier Soccer League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 6 | 67.2% | 100.0% | +32.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 10 | 84.3% | 100.0% | +15.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 53.0% | 100.0% | +47.0 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 76.9% | 100.0% | +23.1 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 2 | 58.7% | 50.0% | -8.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Premier Soccer League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Premier Soccer League results
- 9 Sept · 18:30Mamelodi Sundowns3-0SiweleleHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 16:30Kaizer Chiefs3-2SiweleleNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Golden Arrows1-2Mamelodi SundownsAway or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 16:30Sekhukhune United0-0TS GalaxyNo pick
- 5 Sept · 14:00Chippa United0-0Milford FCDraw✓
- 4 Sept · 18:30Richards Bay1-2AmazuluDraw✗
- 4 Sept · 18:30Marumo Gallants2-2Polokwane CityDraw✓
- 2 Sept · 18:30Mamelodi Sundowns2-0Milford FCHome or Draw✓
- 1 Sept · 18:30Kruger United0-4Orlando PiratesNo pick
- 1 Sept · 18:30Durban City0-0StellenboschNo pick
About Premier Soccer League
Premier Soccer League is the top flight of South Africa football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.38 goals per game over 42 matches: both teams scored in 45%, 41% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 36% with 41% drawn. Mamelodi Sundowns lead the table on 16 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Premier Soccer League
Every Premier Soccer League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 20 Premier Soccer League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 74.7% on average and landing 95.0%. Its best-calibrated Premier Soccer League market so far is home or draw (84.3% claimed against 100.0% hit over 10 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Premier Soccer League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Premier Soccer League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Premier Soccer League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Premier Soccer League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 84.3% claimed against 100.0% hit over 10 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Premier Soccer League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Premier Soccer League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.