1. SNL predictions
Slovenia · top flight · 10 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 1. SNL match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 1. SNL in the Bet Finder.
This week's 1. SNL fixtures
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maribor | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 16 | |
| 2 |  Koper | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Bravo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Celje | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 11 | |
| 5 |  Olimpija Ljubljana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 11 | |
| 6 |  Nafta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 10 | |
| 7 |  Aluminij | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Brinje-Grosuplje | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Mura | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Radomlje | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
- Qualifying
- Play-offs
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official 1. SNL table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's 1. SNL record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 1 | 70.1% | 0.0% | -70.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 83.3% | 100.0% | +16.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 2 | 53.2% | 0.0% | -53.2 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 2 | 77.0% | 50.0% | -27.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 5 | 59.0% | 60.0% | +1.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled 1. SNL matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 1. SNL results
- 6 Sept · 19:15Celje0-1KoperNo pick
- 6 Sept · 16:30Maribor1-1MuraHome or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 19:15Olimpija Ljubljana3-0Brinje-GrosupljeOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 16:30Aluminij0-0BravoNo pick
- 4 Sept · 19:15Nafta3-1RadomljeNo pick
- 2 Sept · 19:00Aluminij0-2CeljeNo pick
- 30 Aug · 19:15Nafta2-3MariborNo pick
- 30 Aug · 17:00Brinje-Grosuplje4-1CeljeNo pick
- 29 Aug · 19:15Bravo2-0MuraNo pick
- 29 Aug · 16:30Radomlje0-0Olimpija LjubljanaAway or Draw✓
About 1. SNL
1. SNL is the top flight of Slovenia football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.49 goals per game over 39 matches: both teams scored in 49%, 41% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 33% with 31% drawn. Maribor lead the table on 16 points from 8 games.
How the model handles 1. SNL
Every 1. SNL fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 12 1. SNL tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 66.0% on average and landing 50.0%. Its best-calibrated 1. SNL market so far is over 2.5 (59.0% claimed against 60.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 1. SNL predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 1. SNL table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 1. SNL market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 1. SNL tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.0% claimed against 60.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 1. SNL fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 1. SNL by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.