Stars League predictions
Qatar · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Stars League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Stars League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Stars League fixtures
No Stars League fixtures in the next 7 days.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Rayyan SC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 17 | |
| 2 |  Al Sadd | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Al-Duhail SC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Al-Arabi SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Al Wakrah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | |
| 6 |  Al Shamal | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Al Ahli Doha | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 8 |  Al Shahaniya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 | |
| 9 |  Lusail City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Al-Gharafa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | |
| 11 |  Qatar SC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Al-Sailiya | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 1 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
- QSL (Relegation)
- Relegation - QSL 2
Official Stars League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Stars League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 60.4% | 71.4% | +11.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 82.1% | 100.0% | +17.9 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 5 | 61.8% | 100.0% | +38.2 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 5 | 79.9% | 100.0% | +20.1 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 37 | 62.5% | 70.3% | +7.8 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 11 | 65.1% | 72.7% | +7.6 |
Settled Stars League matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Stars League results
- 24 Oct · 17:45Al-Duhail SC3-1Lusail CityOver 2.5✓
- 24 Oct · 15:30Al Wakrah3-2Al-Arabi SCBTTS✓
- 23 Oct · 17:45Al-Sailiya1-6Al-Rayyan SCAway or Draw✓
- 23 Oct · 15:30Al Shamal2-3Qatar SCNo pick
- 22 Oct · 17:45Al-Gharafa2-2Al Ahli DohaBTTS✓
- 22 Oct · 15:30Al Shahaniya0-4Al SaddAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 17:45Al-Gharafa0-0Al-Rayyan SCOver 2.5✗
- 18 Oct · 15:30Al Sadd2-3Al-Duhail SCBTTS✓
- 17 Oct · 17:45Lusail City0-0Al ShamalNo pick
- 17 Oct · 15:30Al-Sailiya2-2Qatar SCNo pick
About Stars League
Stars League is the top flight of Qatar football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.62 goals per game over 42 matches: both teams scored in 60%, 69% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 36% with 31% drawn. Al-Rayyan SC lead the table on 17 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Stars League
Every Stars League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 67 Stars League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 64.5% on average and landing 76.1%. Its best-calibrated Stars League market so far is btts (65.1% claimed against 72.7% hit over 11 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Stars League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Stars League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Stars League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Stars League tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is btts: 65.1% claimed against 72.7% hit over 11 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Stars League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Stars League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.