Liga Panameña de Fútbol predictions
Panama · top flight · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga Panameña de Fútbol match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga Panameña de Fútbol in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga Panameña de Fútbol fixtures
- 12 Sept · 2:30CD Arabe UnidovUnion CocleNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 0:15Independiente de La ChorreravPlaza AmadorNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 2:30Tauro FCvDeportivo UniversitarioNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 22:00HerreravUMECITNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 0:15VeraguasvAlianza FCNo pick yet
- 15 Sept · 2:30Sporting San MiguelitovSan Francisco FCNo pick yet
Liga Panameña de Fútbol table
Clausura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Alianza FC | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 27 | |
| 3 |  UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 20 | +8 | 25 | |
| 4 |  Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | +3 | 25 | |
| 5 |  Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 23 | |
| 6 |  Tauro FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 21 | |
| 7 |  CD Arabe Unido | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Independiente de La Chorrera | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 | |
| 9 |  San Francisco FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 | |
| 10 |  Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Deportivo Universitario | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 14 | |
| 12 |  Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 8 |
Apertura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 16 | |
| 2 | San Francisco FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 14 | |
| 3 | CD Arabe Unido | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 12 | |
| 4 | Alianza FC | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | |
| 5 | Veraguas | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | |
| 6 | Sporting San Miguelito | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | |
| 7 | Tauro FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 | |
| 8 | Deportivo Universitario | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | |
| 9 | UMECIT | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 10 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | |
| 11 | Union Cocle | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | |
| 12 | Herrera | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 |
Official Liga Panameña de Fútbol table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga Panameña de Fútbol record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 4 | 63.0% | 50.0% | -13.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 83.1% | 100.0% | +16.9 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 58.7% | 0.0% | -58.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Liga Panameña de Fútbol results
- 8 Sept · 2:00UMECIT2-0Independiente de La ChorreraNo pick
- 7 Sept · 0:15Alianza FC1-1San Francisco FCNo pick
- 6 Sept · 22:00Union Cocle0-2Tauro FCNo pick
- 6 Sept · 2:30Plaza Amador4-1HerreraHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 0:15Deportivo Universitario1-1Sporting San MiguelitoNo pick
- 5 Sept · 2:30CD Arabe Unido3-1VeraguasDraw✗
- 1 Sept · 2:00UMECIT1-1VeraguasDraw✓
- 31 Aug · 0:15Sporting San Miguelito3-1HerreraHome or Draw✓
- 30 Aug · 22:00Union Cocle2-2Alianza FCNo pick
- 30 Aug · 2:30San Francisco FC4-1Plaza AmadorAway or Draw✗
About Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Liga Panameña de Fútbol is the top flight of Panama football played across 2 groups. The 2026 season has produced 2.59 goals per game over 145 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 45% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 37% with 39% drawn. The table is published as Clausura, Apertura.
How the model handles Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Every Liga Panameña de Fútbol fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 10 Liga Panameña de Fútbol tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.6% on average and landing 70.0%. Its best-calibrated Liga Panameña de Fútbol market so far is home or draw (83.1% claimed against 100.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga Panameña de Fútbol predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga Panameña de Fútbol table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga Panameña de Fútbol market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Liga Panameña de Fútbol tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 83.1% claimed against 100.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Liga Panameña de Fútbol fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga Panameña de Fútbol by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.