Liga Leumit predictions
Israel · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga Leumit match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga Leumit in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga Leumit fixtures
- 10 Sept · 17:00Hapoel Kfar SabavMaccabi Kiryat GatNo pick yet
- 10 Sept · 17:00Hapoel Kfar ShalemvMaccabi Ahi NazarethNo pick yet
- 10 Sept · 17:00Hapoel Rishon LeZionvKiryat Yam SCNo pick yet
- 10 Sept · 17:00Ironi Modi'invBnei YehudaNo pick yet
- 10 Sept · 17:00Maccabi Bnei RainavHapoel AfulaNo pick yet
- 10 Sept · 17:00Maccabi Kabilio JaffavHapoel Ra'ananaNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 17:00Hapoel AcrevAshdodNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 17:00Maccabi HerzliyavKafr QasimNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 17:00Bnei YehudavMaccabi HerzliyaNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 17:00Hapoel AfulavHapoel Kfar ShalemNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 17:00Hapoel Ra'ananavMaccabi Kiryat GatNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 17:00Kiryat Yam SCvIroni Modi'inNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 17:00Maccabi Kabilio JaffavMaccabi Bnei RainaNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 17:00Maccabi Ahi NazarethvHapoel AcreNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 17:00Kafr QasimvHapoel Kfar SabaNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 17:00AshdodvHapoel Rishon LeZionNo pick yet
Liga Leumit table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bnei Yehuda | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 | |
| 2 |  Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 10 | |
| 3 |  Hapoel Ra'anana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 9 | |
| 4 |  Ashdod | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 | |
| 5 |  Hapoel Afula | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Kiryat Yam SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 6 | |
| 7 |  Maccabi Bnei Raina | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |
| 8 |  Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 | |
| 10 |  Ironi Modi'in | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 | |
| 11 |  Kafr Qasim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 | |
| 12 |  Maccabi Herzliya | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | |
| 13 |  Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | |
| 15 |  Hapoel Kfar Saba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 | |
| 16 |  Hapoel Acre | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 0 |
- Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
- Leumit League (Relegation Group)
Official Liga Leumit table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga Leumit record
Not enough settled Liga Leumit tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Liga Leumit results
- 7 Sept · 17:00Kafr Qasim0-0Ironi Modi'inNo pick
- 7 Sept · 17:00Maccabi Kiryat Gat1-1Maccabi HerzliyaNo pick
- 7 Sept · 17:00Bnei Yehuda0-0Hapoel Rishon LeZionNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Ashdod4-0Hapoel Kfar ShalemNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Maccabi Ahi Nazareth1-2Maccabi Bnei RainaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Kiryat Yam SC5-0Hapoel AcreNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Hapoel Ra'anana6-1Hapoel Kfar SabaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Hapoel Afula0-1Maccabi Kabilio JaffaNo pick
- 31 Aug · 17:00Maccabi Bnei Raina1-2AshdodNo pick
- 31 Aug · 17:00Hapoel Afula3-2Hapoel Ra'ananaNo pick
About Liga Leumit
Liga Leumit is the top flight of Israel football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.03 goals per game over 32 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 53% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 41% with 13% drawn. Bnei Yehuda lead the table on 10 points from 4 games.
How the model handles Liga Leumit
Every Liga Leumit fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Liga Leumit tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga Leumit predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga Leumit table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga Leumit market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Liga Leumit tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Liga Leumit fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga Leumit by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.