1. Division predictions
Cyprus · top flight · 14 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 1. Division match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 1. Division in the Bet Finder.
This week's 1. Division fixtures
- 11 Sept · 18:00AELvNea SalamisNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 17:00AnorthosisvApoel NicosiaNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 17:00KarmiotissavOmonia AradippouNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 18:00Omonia NicosiavApollon LimassolNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 17:00AEK LarnacavPafosNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 18:00OlympiakosvOmonia 29is MaiouNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 18:00Krasava YpsonasvArisNo pick yet
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 | |
| 2 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | |
| 3 |  Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 | |
| 4 |  Pafos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 4 | |
| 5 |  Apollon Limassol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 | |
| 6 |  Omonia Aradippou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 7 |  Apoel Nicosia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 3 | |
| 8 |  AEL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | |
| 9 |  Olympiakos | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| 10 |  Nea Salamis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | |
| 11 |  Aris | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | |
| 12 |  Karmiotissa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | |
| 13 |  Anorthosis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
- Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
- Cyprus League (Relegation Group)
Official 1. Division table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's 1. Division record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 66.8% | 0.0% | -66.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 85.7% | 100.0% | +14.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 51.6% | 100.0% | +48.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 74.9% | 100.0% | +25.1 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled 1. Division matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 1. Division results
- 7 Sept · 18:00Aris1-4Omonia NicosiaNo pick
- 7 Sept · 17:00Pafos0-0OlympiakosHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 17:00Nea Salamis1-4AEK LarnacaAway or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 17:00Apoel Nicosia6-0AELNo pick
- 5 Sept · 18:00Omonia Aradippou2-1Krasava YpsonasNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:00Apollon Limassol3-1AnorthosisNo pick
- 4 Sept · 17:00Omonia 29is Maiou2-2KarmiotissaNo pick
- 31 Aug · 18:00Omonia Nicosia0-0Omonia AradippouHome or Draw✓
- 30 Aug · 18:00Karmiotissa0-3PafosAway or Draw✓
- 30 Aug · 17:00AEL2-0AnorthosisNo pick
About 1. Division
1. Division is the top flight of Cyprus football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.50 goals per game over 14 matches: both teams scored in 57%, 79% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 36% with 36% drawn. AEK Larnaca lead the table on 6 points from 2 games.
How the model handles 1. Division
Every 1. Division fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 6 1. Division tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 71.9% on average and landing 66.7%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 1. Division predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 1. Division table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 1. Division market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled 1. Division tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are 1. Division fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 1. Division by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.