Superliga predictions

Albania · top flight · 10 teams · table updated 8 Sept

Calibrated probabilities for every Superliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Superliga in the Bet Finder.

This week's Superliga fixtures

Superliga table

#TeamPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë3+69
2Teuta Durrës3+47
3Dinamo Tirana3+16
4Laci3-14
5Partizani304
6Tirana3-13
7Vora3-53
8Vllaznia Shkodër3-12
9AF Elbasani3-12
10Skenderbeu Korce3-21
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Official Superliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.

This season in numbers

2.87
goals per game (15 matches)
67%
both teams scored
67%
over 2.5 goals
80%
over 1.5 goals
40%
over 3.5 goals
33%
home wins
27%
draws
40%
away wins

The model's Superliga record

Not enough settled Superliga tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.

Recent Superliga results

About Superliga

Superliga is the top flight of Albania football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.87 goals per game over 15 matches: both teams scored in 67%, 67% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 33% with 27% drawn. Egnatia Rrogozhinë lead the table on 9 points from 3 games.

How the model handles Superliga

Every Superliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Superliga tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Superliga predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Superliga table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Superliga market is the model most reliable in?
There are not yet enough settled Superliga tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
How far ahead are Superliga fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Superliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.