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Superliga predictions

Albania · top flight · 10 teams · table updated 24 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Superliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Superliga in the Bet Finder.

This week's Superliga fixtures

Superliga table

#TeamPGDPts
1Teuta Durrës8+1220
2Egnatia Rrogozhinë7+1018
3Dinamo Tirana7+212
4Tirana8011
5Laci8-310
6Skenderbeu Korce8-19
7AF Elbasani8-18
8Vllaznia Shkodër8-48
9Vora8-58
10Partizani8-104
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Official Superliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.

This season in numbers

2.67
goals per game (39 matches)
56%
both teams scored
49%
over 2.5 goals
82%
over 1.5 goals
31%
over 3.5 goals
46%
home wins
23%
draws
31%
away wins

The model's Superliga record

Not enough settled Superliga tips since 27 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.

Recent Superliga results

About Superliga

Superliga is the top flight of Albania football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.67 goals per game over 39 matches: both teams scored in 56%, 49% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 46% with 23% drawn. Teuta Durrës lead the table on 20 points from 8 games.

How the model handles Superliga

Every Superliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 27 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Superliga tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Superliga predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Superliga table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Superliga market is the model most reliable in?
There are not yet enough settled Superliga tips since 27 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
How far ahead are Superliga fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Superliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.