Watford vs Peterborough predictions — League Cup, 25 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Watford have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Peterborough have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game.