Alay vs Alga predictions — Premier League, 6 Oct

Model's headline prediction

Alay favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Alga have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 Alay wins, 1 Alga win and 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals.