Derby vs Portsmouth predictions — Championship, 20 Dec

Model's headline prediction

Derby favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Portsmouth have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Derby win, 0 Portsmouth wins and 5 draws, averaging 2.7 goals.