Velez Sarsfield vs Olimpia predictions — CONMEBOL Libertadores, 8 May

Model's headline prediction

Velez Sarsfield favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Olimpia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game. Velez Sarsfield have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6 per game.