BTTS for 12 Sept.
49 predictions across 30 leagues. BTTS is the model's noisiest market — we publish the gap so you can see how often it lands. What do these numbers mean?
Football is an inherently variable sport. Both Teams To Score requires two independent scoring processes to line up, which makes it the noisiest market we display. Other markets we publish — outright home/away wins, double-chance (1X, X2), and over 2.5 — are materially more reliable. We label our predictions with honest probabilities, not certainties.
Hit rate over the last 90days, computed on finished matches that passed each market's on-page confidence threshold. All markets exclude leagues where the model is known to overpredict (women's, youth, tier-gap cups, and a handful of low-scoring lower divisions).
premier league
1 prediction
0v0
Fulhamleague one
2 predictions
0v0
Wigan
3v4
Leicesternational league
1 prediction
1v2
Aldershot Townnational league - south
1 prediction
0v1
Slough Townnon league premier - northern
3 predictions
1v0
Alfreton Town
1v3
Whitby Town
4v1
Warrington Townnon league premier - southern south
2 predictions
1v1
Basingstoke Town
0v1
Poole Town
bundesliga
2 predictions
3v0
SC Paderborn 07
1v1
Werder Bremenregionalliga - sudwest
2 predictions
1v2
FC 08 Homburg
2v1
FC Astoria Walldorf
eredivisie
1 prediction
2v0
ADO Den Haageerste divisie
1 prediction
1v0
Vitesse
eliteserien
1 prediction
2v0
Valerenga
faw championship
5 predictions
1v1
Gresford Athletic
1v5
Bangor City 1876 FC
3v0
Ruthin Town
3v3
Buckley Town
1v1
Llantwit Major
1. division
2 predictions
2v2
HB Koge
0v0
FC Fredericia
serie b
1 prediction
2v2
Cremonese
super league
1 prediction
1v1
Henan Jianye
league one
2 predictions
1v0
Alloa Athletic
2v1
Cove Rangersleague two
1 prediction
3v1
Dumbarton
western australia npl
2 predictions
1v1
Joondalup City
2v0
Perth
super league
1 prediction
0v3
FC Sion
2. liga
1 prediction
3v3
Sturm Graz II
veikkausliiga
1 prediction
1v1
SJKykkönen
1 prediction
1v1
OLS
national division
1 prediction
1v2
Progres Niederkorn
stars league
2 predictions
0v0
Qatar SC
1v1
Al Shahaniya
erovnuli liga 2
1 prediction
1v1
Kolkheti Poti
primera división
1 prediction
0v3
Nacional Potosí
championship
3 predictions
3v1
H&W Welders
3v5
Institute
5v5
Dundelapremiership
2 predictions
1v2
Limavady United
1v1
Bangorqueensland npl
1 prediction
1v0
Peninsula Power1. liga promotion
3 predictions
0v1
Biel-Bienne
2v0
Cham
2v1
BavoisWhat does both teams to score mean?
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is a single yes/no question about a football match: will bothsides find the net? “Yes” needs at least one goal from the home team and one from the away team. A 1-1, 2-1 or 3-2 all settle BTTS as yes; a 0-0, 1-0 or 3-0 settle it as no. The final score and the match winner are irrelevant — only whether each team scored at least once.
How these BTTS predictions are made
Each fixture's BTTS probability comes from a calibrated statistical model, not a tipster's opinion. Two Poisson regressors estimate how many goals the home and away side are each expected to score, using recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and recency-weighted shot and expected-goals data. We turn those two goal expectations into a full scoreline distribution, apply a Dixon-Coles correction for the low-scoring scorelines where goals are correlated, and read off the probability that both teams score.
A final isotonic calibration step pulls the raw number toward its honest long-run frequency, so a fixture shown at 70% lands BTTS close to 70% of the time rather than being quietly overconfident. The full pipeline is documented on the methodology page, and the live calibration gap per market is on the track record.
How to read this page
Predictions refresh every day. Each row is one fixture with its UK kick-off time, the two teams, and — once the match finishes — the actual score and a tick or cross showing whether BTTS landed. We only surface fixtures above the model's BTTS confidence threshold, grouped by competition.
Women's, youth, and a handful of tier-gap cup and structurally low-scoring competitions are excluded, because the model is known to overpredict BTTS there. Exact percentages on each fixture are reserved for signed-in users; the public view shows which fixtures qualified and how the market has performed lately. Looking for more than BTTS? The predictions page carries match-result, double-chance and over/under picks too.
Frequently asked questions
- What does BTTS mean in football?
- BTTS stands for Both Teams To Score. It settles “yes” when the home team and the away team each score at least one goal, and “no” otherwise. The final score and the match winner don't matter — only whether both sides found the net. A 1-1 or 2-1 is BTTS yes; a 0-0, 1-0 or 3-0 is BTTS no.
- How accurate are these BTTS predictions?
- Every BTTS prediction is a calibrated probability, fitted so that fixtures shown at (say) 70% land BTTS close to 70% of the time. The summary band at the top of this page reports the model's real hit rate over the last 90 days against what it predicted — the closer those two numbers, the better calibrated the model. You can see the full per-market breakdown on the track record page. BTTS is the noisiest market we publish, so we're deliberate about showing that gap rather than hiding it.
- Is BTTS harder to predict than the match result?
- Yes. BTTS needs two independent scoring processes to line up in the same match, which makes it noisier than markets like home/away win, double chance, or over/under goals. Those markets are materially more reliable, which is why we show their hit rates alongside BTTS for context.
- What's the difference between BTTS and over 2.5 goals?
- BTTS asks who scores; over 2.5 asks how many. They can disagree. A 1-1 is BTTS yes but under 2.5 goals (only two were scored). A 3-0 is over 2.5 goals but BTTS no (one team was shut out). They only coincide when there are at least three goals and both teams are among the scorers, like 2-1 or 2-2.
- How often are the predictions updated?
- Daily. New fixtures appear as each day's schedule fills in, and once a match finishes we show the final score and a tick or cross marking whether BTTS landed. Use the date pills near the top to move between recent days and tomorrow.
- Do you cover women's and youth matches for BTTS?
- No — women's and youth competitions are excluded from public BTTS predictions. The model's joint-Poisson assumption breaks down on lopsided fixtures, where a much stronger side regularly shuts out a weaker one, and it overpredicts BTTS in those competitions by a wide margin. We'd rather hide a market than show one we know is miscalibrated.