Both teams to score · FRI 14 AUG

BTTS for 14 Aug.

18 predictions across 10 leagues. BTTS is the model's noisiest market — we publish the gap so you can see how often it lands. What do these numbers mean?

Today
18predictions
30-day
62.2%hit rate
Calibration
±1.5ppvs predicted

Football is an inherently variable sport. Both Teams To Score requires two independent scoring processes to line up, which makes it the noisiest market we display. Other markets we publish — outright home/away wins, double-chance (1X, X2), and over 2.5 — are materially more reliable. We label our predictions with honest probabilities, not certainties.

BTTS62.2%model 60.7% · n=842
Home win65.3%model 64.7% · n=952
1X (home or draw)83.7%model 83.8% · n=1131
Away win64.3%model 59.0% · n=308
X2 (away or draw)85.2%model 79.6% · n=298
Over 2.568.0%model 74.0% · n=122

Hit rate over the last 90days, computed on finished matches that passed each market's on-page confidence threshold. All markets exclude leagues where the model is known to overpredict (women's, youth, tier-gap cups, and a handful of low-scoring lower divisions).

2. bundesliga flag

2. bundesliga

1 prediction
17:30
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel crest2v2FC St. Pauli crestFC St. Pauli
regionalliga - sudwest flag

regionalliga - sudwest

1 prediction
18:00
SSV Ulm 1846SSV Ulm 1846 crest0v2Kickers Offenbach crestKickers Offenbach
eerste divisie flag

eerste divisie

1 prediction
19:00
NAC BredaNAC Breda crest0v2VVV Venlo crestVVV Venlo
premier league flag

premier league

2 predictions
19:45
LlandudnoLlandudno crest3v1Holywell crestHolywell
19:45
The New SaintsThe New Saints crest1v0Briton Ferry crestBriton Ferry
faw championship flag

faw championship

3 predictions
19:30
Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town crest3v1Afan Lido crestAfan Lido
19:45
Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds crest2v4Caerau (Ely) crestCaerau (Ely)
20:00
Ruthin TownRuthin Town crest2v1Denbigh Town crestDenbigh Town
1. division flag

1. division

1 prediction
18:00
AalborgAalborg crest0v3FC Fredericia crestFC Fredericia
challenger pro league flag

challenger pro league

1 prediction
19:00
Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt crest1v0Dender crestDender
super league flag

super league

1 prediction
12:35
Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns crest2v3SHANGHAI SIPG crestSHANGHAI SIPG
western australia npl flag

western australia npl

1 prediction
12:00
Bayswater CityBayswater City crest6v2Stirling Lions crestStirling Lions
queensland npl flag

queensland npl

6 predictions
10:30
Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II crest1v2Gold Coast Knights crestGold Coast Knights
10:30
Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United crest2v0Eastern Suburbs crestEastern Suburbs
10:30
Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior crest0v2Lions crestLions
10:30
OlympicOlympic crest1v2Rochedale Rovers crestRochedale Rovers
10:30
Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power crest2v2Brisbane City crestBrisbane City
10:30
WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves crest0v3Magic United crestMagic United

What does both teams to score mean?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is a single yes/no question about a football match: will bothsides find the net? “Yes” needs at least one goal from the home team and one from the away team. A 1-1, 2-1 or 3-2 all settle BTTS as yes; a 0-0, 1-0 or 3-0 settle it as no. The final score and the match winner are irrelevant — only whether each team scored at least once.

How these BTTS predictions are made

Each fixture's BTTS probability comes from a calibrated statistical model, not a tipster's opinion. Two Poisson regressors estimate how many goals the home and away side are each expected to score, using recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and recency-weighted shot and expected-goals data. We turn those two goal expectations into a full scoreline distribution, apply a Dixon-Coles correction for the low-scoring scorelines where goals are correlated, and read off the probability that both teams score.

A final isotonic calibration step pulls the raw number toward its honest long-run frequency, so a fixture shown at 70% lands BTTS close to 70% of the time rather than being quietly overconfident. The full pipeline is documented on the methodology page, and the live calibration gap per market is on the track record.

How to read this page

Predictions refresh every day. Each row is one fixture with its UK kick-off time, the two teams, and — once the match finishes — the actual score and a tick or cross showing whether BTTS landed. We only surface fixtures above the model's BTTS confidence threshold, grouped by competition.

Women's, youth, and a handful of tier-gap cup and structurally low-scoring competitions are excluded, because the model is known to overpredict BTTS there. Exact percentages on each fixture are reserved for signed-in users; the public view shows which fixtures qualified and how the market has performed lately. Looking for more than BTTS? The predictions page carries match-result, double-chance and over/under picks too.

Frequently asked questions

What does BTTS mean in football?
BTTS stands for Both Teams To Score. It settles “yes” when the home team and the away team each score at least one goal, and “no” otherwise. The final score and the match winner don't matter — only whether both sides found the net. A 1-1 or 2-1 is BTTS yes; a 0-0, 1-0 or 3-0 is BTTS no.
How accurate are these BTTS predictions?
Every BTTS prediction is a calibrated probability, fitted so that fixtures shown at (say) 70% land BTTS close to 70% of the time. The summary band at the top of this page reports the model's real hit rate over the last 90 days against what it predicted — the closer those two numbers, the better calibrated the model. You can see the full per-market breakdown on the track record page. BTTS is the noisiest market we publish, so we're deliberate about showing that gap rather than hiding it.
Is BTTS harder to predict than the match result?
Yes. BTTS needs two independent scoring processes to line up in the same match, which makes it noisier than markets like home/away win, double chance, or over/under goals. Those markets are materially more reliable, which is why we show their hit rates alongside BTTS for context.
What's the difference between BTTS and over 2.5 goals?
BTTS asks who scores; over 2.5 asks how many. They can disagree. A 1-1 is BTTS yes but under 2.5 goals (only two were scored). A 3-0 is over 2.5 goals but BTTS no (one team was shut out). They only coincide when there are at least three goals and both teams are among the scorers, like 2-1 or 2-2.
How often are the predictions updated?
Daily. New fixtures appear as each day's schedule fills in, and once a match finishes we show the final score and a tick or cross marking whether BTTS landed. Use the date pills near the top to move between recent days and tomorrow.
Do you cover women's and youth matches for BTTS?
No — women's and youth competitions are excluded from public BTTS predictions. The model's joint-Poisson assumption breaks down on lopsided fixtures, where a much stronger side regularly shuts out a weaker one, and it overpredicts BTTS in those competitions by a wide margin. We'd rather hide a market than show one we know is miscalibrated.