Fiji vs New Caledonia predictions — Friendlies, 30 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Fiji have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.6 per game. New Caledonia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 per game.