Belgium U21 vs Wales U21 predictions — UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification, 29 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Belgium U21 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6 per game. Wales U21 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 per game.